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Markets
Retail sales setback but momentum holds – TD Securities
TD Securities expects UK Retail Sales for February to decline, projecting -0.6% month-on-month versus the market’s -0.7% and January’s 1.8%. They bank attributes the pullback to…
Gold slides as US-Iran uncertainty and global interest rate outlook weigh
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Thursday, snapping a two-day winning streak as uncertainty surrounding US-Iran negotiations to end the conflict keeps markets on edge, with price…
Volatile price action on ceasefire uncertainty – ING
ING’s Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note that NYMEX WTI and ICE Brent are up around 2% after sharp volatility around $100/bbl as markets react to conflicting US‑Iran ceasefire…
Rate hike risks rise as inflation watched – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts comment on the latest Reuters European Central Bank (ECB) poll showing more economists now expect at least one rate increase this year, though a majority…
Norges Bank signals possible hike this year – TD Securities
TD Securities reports that Norges Bank left its policy rate unchanged at 4.00%, in line with expectations, but shifted guidance toward a base case of at least one rate hike in…
XAU/USD declines sharply to near $4,400 as Middle East fears revive
Gold price (XAU/USD) is down 2% to near $4,410 during the European trading session on Thursday. The precious metal has come under pressure after a strong recovery in the last three…
SARB holds through conflict – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analyst Volkmar Baur expects the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to keep rates unchanged, despite inflation having fallen to its new 3% target and real rates…
Dow Jones futures dip as Middle East peace prospects diminish
Dow Jones futures decline 0.39% below 46,550 during European hours, ahead of the United States (US) regular market open on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures…
Cyclicals lead as geopolitical reversal trade extends – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes global equities extended gains, with Stoxx 600 up 1.4% and S&P 500 up 0.5% in a geopolitical reversal trade. Cyclicals outperformed defensives,…
RBA weighs stagflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note AUD/USD slipped to 0.6950 as Australia faces a stagflationary dilemma. Pre-war core inflation held at 3.3% while a Middle…