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Markets
Higher Oil costs threaten consumption – ING
ING economists Carsten Brzeski and Franziska Biehl argue that rising Oil prices are quickly eroding Eurozone household purchasing power, especially via fuel. They stress that…
Growth and inflation risks from energy shock – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan highlight that a Strait of Hormuz closure would hit India through Oil, Liquified Petroleum Gas and Natural Gas Liquids shortages, with…
Neighbourhood demand offsets China drag – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas highlights that European Union exports to China fell sharply in 2025, while exports to nearby partners such as Türkiye, Morocco, Ukraine and the Balkans increased. The…
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Tactical pause masks inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Central Bank of Turkey to keep rates on hold, seeing this as a tactical pause rather than a shift in strategy. He criticizes recent easing as…
Downside risks with 1.150 in focus – ING
ING’s FX team argues that while Europe is better positioned on gas than in 2022, the Euro remains vulnerable against the Dollar. They highlight that EUR/USD has become more driven…
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Hawkish words as oil shock risk rises – ING
ING’s Global Head of Macro Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank will keep rates unchanged at its 19 March meeting but adopt a more hawkish tone as the war in the…
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Hawkish voices grow on energy and fiscal risks – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that ECB officials are turning more hawkish as energy-driven inflation risks and potential fiscal easing in the Euro area build. Executive Board member…