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Markets
Consumption slowdown shapes outlook – DBS
DBS Group Research Chief Economist Taimur Baig, highlights signs of slowing US consumption after strong 2025 growth. He notes softer retail sales momentum in 4Q25 and a downgrade…
Tariff tweaks offer little relief – ING
ING’s commodities team notes that talk of a partial rollback of US aluminium tariffs is unlikely to materially change market conditions. They stress that the core 50% levy on…
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Industrial recovery seen holding up – ING
ING’s Chief Economist Peter Vanden Houte notes that Eurozone industrial production declined in December but still showed annual growth, and argues that the cyclical recovery should…
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Fed cuts and softer inflation outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that stronger recent U.S. employment data have eased immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates, but slowing inflation…
What’s with Wall Street’s weird selloffs?
Cross-border EU banking deals reached their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, and regulation reversals are hitting global electric-vehicle makers. Plus, soaring gold…
Risk premium faces policy test – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say Oil remains supported by a sizeable risk premium as markets await US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine talks in Geneva. They argue that a more…
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RBNZ guidance to support richer NZD – BNY
BNY's EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hold rates at 2.25% (February 18) but acknowledges markets are increasingly pricing in tightening as…