The Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade in a 0.6680/0.6725 range. In the longer run, rapid increase in momentum is likely to lead to further AUD weakness; the levels to monitor are 0.6650 and 0.6620, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia notes.
AUD can fall towards 0.6650 short term
24-HOUR VIEW: “AUD traded between 0.6660 and 0.6710 yesterday, narrower than our expected range of 0.6660/0.6720. We continue to expect AUD to trade in a range today, probably between 0.6680 and 0.6725.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We highlighted two days ago (16 Oct, spot at 0.6680) that ‘the rapid increase in momentum is likely to lead to further AUD weakness.’ We also highlighted that ‘the levels to monitor are 0.6650 and 0.6620.’ While AUD has not been able to make further headway on the downside, we continue to hold the same vie for now. However, should AUD break the ‘strong resistance’ at 0.6740 (no change in level from yesterday), it would mean that the AUD weakness that started early this month has stabilised.”
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