- EUR/GBP rose back into familiar highs near 0.8430 on Thursday.
- Market action is giving the Euro a leg up against the Pound Sterling.
- Investors are adding into BoE rate cut bets, softening the GBP.
EUR/GBP is back into a near-term high around 0.8430 as markets firm up bets of a Bank of England (BoE) rate cut next week. Money markets now see slightly more than 50% odds of at least a quarter-point rate trim when the BoE gathers to deliver its latest rate call one week from now on August 1.
Plenty of Euro-centric action still remains in the charts ahead of the BoE’s latest possible rate adjustment; preliminary Pan-European Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures for Q2 are slated for next Tuesday and expected to backslide to 0.2% from the previous 0.3% QoQ. Next Wednesday sees more pan-EU data with July’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). EU-wide Core HICP inflation last printed at 2.9% YoY in June, still well above the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2.0% target range.
EUR/GBP technical outlook
EUR/GBP is on pace to put in one of its best single-day performances of 2024 on Thursday, in the green by around one-third of one percent, but long-term traders will note that still leaves the pair at the low end of a very deep hole. EUR/GBP fell -3.28% peak-to-trough in 2024, falling to an almost two-year low near 0.8383.
Euro bidders will be looking for a three-stage recovery off the back of dual Euro-area economic data showings and a rate cut from the BoE next week, but EUR/GBP remains buried well below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.8545.
EUR/GBP hourly chart
EUR/GBP daily chart![]()
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