Taking a look at key metrics versus estimates

Toll Brothers (TOL) reported $3.42 billion in revenue for the quarter ended October 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.7%. EPS of $4.58 for the same period compares to $4.63 a year ago.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.32 billion, representing a surprise of +2.97%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -5.95%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $4.87.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company’s financial health.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock’s price performance more accurately.

Here is how Toll Brothers performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

• Closed/Delivered – Units: 3,443 versus 3,377 estimated by four analysts on average.
• Backlog – Units: 4,647 versus 4,614 estimated by four analysts on average.
• Average delivered price (Total average price per unit): $991.60 compared to the $974.45 average estimate based on four analysts.
• Net contracts – Units: 2,598 versus the four-analyst average estimate of 2,499.
• Average Backlog Price: $1,182.30 versus the two-analyst average estimate of $1,173.67.
• Number of selling communities: 446 versus the two-analyst average estimate of 445.
• Revenues- Home sales: $3.41 billion compared to the $3.29 billion average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +4.7% year over year.
• Gross margin- Home sales: $870.72 million versus the four-analyst average estimate of $840.91 million.